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How Ministries of Finance can assess the fiscal challenges and opportunities from green and resilient transitions

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Available analytical tools and emerging good practice

Feedback from Ministries of Finance (MoFs) around the world points to the requirement to estimate the fiscal implications of climate change, climate mitigation, and adaptation measures as a core concern. This report focuses on how each climate-related issue can affect public finances, how those effects can be estimated using existing data, tools, and approaches, and where gaps remain.

The report surveys analytical questions relevant to MoFs assessing the climate-related fiscal challenges and opportunities they need to manage and seize, as well as the available tools and examples of emerging best practice, drawing from the Compendium of Practice. It focuses on the fiscal costs and benefits in terms of public expenditure and revenues, including but not limited to the investment necessary to achieve resilience to climate change and the structural transition to a net zero economy.

The report aims to make it easier for Ministers, senior officials, and analysts within MoFs to get started and make progress in mainstreaming climate-related issues into core fiscal processes. It is also designed to assist external agencies and researchers in identifying where their efforts to fill gaps and advance understanding will be of most use to MoF audiences. It takes a pragmatic approach, recognizing that MoFs have many pressures on their resources, so they need to be able to build from existing analysis and tools wherever possible.

CITED CONTRIBUTIONS
European Commission

Determining investment needs for decarbonization and adaptation: the challenge and opportunity for Ministries of Finance in the EU

Quentin Dupriez
Switzerland - Federal Department of Finance

Modeling the fiscal impacts of the net zero target within fiscal sustainability analysis

Benjamin Lerch, Thomas Brändle, and Martin…
Italy - Ministry of Economy and Finance

The Italian Ministry of Economy and Finance climate-related modeling tools: how to build a flexible suite of models serving different purposes

Australia – Department of the Treasury

Estimating the impact of selected physical climate risks on the Australian economy

Freya Carlton, Rebecca Cassells, Rebecca Colquhoun,…
Sierra Leone – Ministry of Finance

Sierra Leone’s first climate–economy model: challenges posed, opportunities arising

International Monetary Fund (IMF) Fiscal Affairs Department

The critical role of Ministries of Finance for investment in adaptation and the analytical principles and tools available

Emanuele Massetti, Senior Economist, Fiscal Affairs…
World Bank

A bottom-up approach to estimating climate-development investment needs

Camilla Knudsen, Economist; Ammara Shariq, Climate…
World Bank

World Bank Group climate aware macroeconomic models available for use by Ministries of Finance

World Bank/International Monetary Fund (IMF) Fiscal Affairs Department

The Climate Policy Assessment Tool (CPAT)

Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)/French Development Agency (AFD)/University College London

How fossil-fuel reliant Ministries of Finance can assess the fiscal risks of global climate action

Adrien Vogt-Schilb and Steve Pye
Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)/French Development Agency (AFD)/University of Costa Rica

Managing the fiscal impacts of electric vehicles, public transportation, and cycling

Jairo Quiros-Tortos, Adrien Vogt-Schilb, and Marcela…
Council on Economic Policies

It takes two to tango: the role of Ministries of Finance in pricing and non-pricing policies for a low-carbon economy

Patrick Lenain, Senior Associate
Imperial College London

Climate finance at scale to implement NDCs: decarbonizing the power sector

Patrick Bolton, Imperial College London/Columbia University…
Danish Research Institute for Economic Analysis and Modelling (DREAM)

The GreenREFORM model

ETH Zürich

New approaches to quantifying the fiscal impacts of physical climate change

ETH Zürich
French Economic Observatory (OFCE) - Sciences Po

The ThreeME model

Aurélien Saussay, Frédéric Reynès, and Anissa…
France Stratégie

Key messages from the report ‘The economic implications of climate action’

Grégory Claeys, Director of the Economics…